The market did open flat to negative led by global cues and It was a negative closing for the market on the first day of new series and again seen profit booking from higher side due to long weekend.Market took support from 4931 which is its very immediate support ( 78.6 Per ) and almost closed above its immediate support too which is placed near 4955 (7 DEMA ).Going forward market seems to be mature now in the higher side and as long as it not provide a breakout in the upside above 5035-55 the selling on rise may continue but it will not fall drastically as long as we are maintain above 4950-4935 zone for the short term.Any dip if comes in the market that can slide nifty to kiss the support levels of 4950 and then 4860 but from these levels we may see again buying in the market.if we fail to hold these levels then the healthy correction is not ruled out.
NIFTY (4958.95)
Resistance : 4965 / 4995 / 5025 / 5085
Support : 4925 / 4895 / 4830
SENSEX (16693)
Resistance : 16710 / 16800 / 16910
Support : 16600 / 16500 / 16385
NIFTY FUT (4967.25)
Resistance : 4970 / 5005 / 5045 / 5080
Support : 4930 / 4890 / 4845
BANK NIFTY (8467.35)
Resistance : 8485 / 8540 / 8615
Support : 8405 / 8350
MKT COMMENTS
NIFTY FUT OI marginal up with increasing volumes indicating unwinding of long positions plus forming of fresh short positions.
Take A Weekly Trial Pack For Just Rs 500,Includes NIFTY, FUTURES, CASH, OPTIONS, COMMODITY, CURRENCY
Join Us For Free
Type " JOIN SHAREBAZAARONL " & Send Sms To 567678
Type " JOIN SHAREBAZAARONL " & Send Sms To 560700
WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK
It was a mildly choppy week for our market with poor global cues and end of an F&O series. Nifty Fut. made the weekly low of 4909.25 we expect going further global cues will give direction to our market for October series. This week's average figures were: Sensex and Nifty both down 0.3%. BSE Midcap index was up 0.6%, BSE Small cap index up 1% over the week. BSE Healthcare index was up 6%, BSE Bankex index and BSE Oil & Gas index both up 1% and BSE Metal index down 3.9% while BSE IT index was down 3%.
We feel the market will make a decisive move in the next few days or mid October as corporate results begin to come in. Sensex shut shop at 16693, down 88 points and Nifty at 4958, down 27 points from the previous close. CNX Midcap index was up 0.32% and BSE Small cap index was up 0.91%. The market breadth was positive with advances at 753 against declines of 508 on the NSE. Top Nifty gainers included Sun Pharma, Ranbaxy and Cipla while losers were HCL Technologies, Wipro and ICICI Bank.
Now week starting from September 29, 2009 we expect Nifty fut. to face resistance at 5005 and there after 5050 & 5115 where as the support for the index is at 4900, 4835 & 4765. Until, unless we do not make a decisive break below 4765 the dips can be used for buying.
DOW has huge Supports Around 9600/9625, Two Days Close Below 9600/9575,Can Bring Some Panic
1) Total OI of NIFTY FUT down 20.50%, NIFTY FUT close flat last week. OI down due to expiry.NIFTY FUT premium increased by 6 points to 8 points from 2 points compare to NIFTY SPOT last week.New series begin with 2.52 CR OI.
2) Out of NIFTY 50 Stock FUTS, 11 Stock FUTS closed positive, 23 Stock FUTs closed negative and 16 StockFUTs close flat last week.
3) OI of current series NIFTY 5000 CE is up 157.38% prices down 21.22% showing call writing. OI of currentseries 5100 CE is up 133.72% prices down 26.85% and 5200 CE is up 58.79% prices down 33.05% showingunwinding plus call writing last week. OI of NIFTY 5000 CE is 32.25 LK highest OI in CALLLs.
4) OI of current series NIFTY 4600 PE is up 91.52% prices down 22.29% showing put writing. OI of current seriesNIFTY 4700 PE is up 162.62% prices down 19.03%, NIFTY 4800 PE is up 100.32% prices down 16.92%, NIFTY 4900 PE is up 448.91% prices up 12.33% and NIFTY 5000 PE is up 264.75% prices down 7.54% last week showing put buying. OI of NIFTY 4900 PE is 43.39 LK highest OI in PUTs.
5) Total OI of OCTOBER series CALLs is up by 97.02 LK to 1.78 CR, OCTO series PUTs is up by 1.09 CR to 2.48 CR. NIFTY OCTO series PCR (OI) at 1.39 down by 30 points
SECTOR WATCH : PHARMA (BREAKOUT ON CARDS)
Last weeks trade showing long build up in PHARMA COUNTERS.Most of them hitting 52 week high last week.
AUROPHARMA FUT : OI up 47.60% prices up 9.62% last week. Key R 765, 790. S 710, 693.
BIOCON FUT : OI up 5.71% prices up 10.54% last week. Key R 262, 283. S 239, 234.
DRREDDY FUT : OI up 12.98% prices up 14.06% last week. Key R 1004, 1030. S 902, 876.
ORCHIDCHEM FUT : OI up 25.86% prices up 9.22% last week. Key R 188, 193. S 148, 139.
RANBAXY FUT : OI up 7.47% prices up 14.24% last week. Key R 435, 439. S 389, 383.
DIVISLAB FUT, GLAXOFUT, LUPIN FUT and PIRAHEALTH FUTalso looks positive.
STOCK FUT TO WATCH NEXT WEEK : SESAGOA FUT
SESAGOA FUT showed weakness last week. OI up 28.32% prices down 7.71%last week. OI up despite expiry. Key Resistances@ 274 / 284 & Key Supports@ 247 / 238.
Below 247 moreselling expected for TGTs 229, 223.
Conclusion :-
I expect NIFTY to trade volatile next week. On down side, NIFTY SPOT Supports@ 4870-80, 4830-40 levels. Strong Supports@ 4750-60 levels.
Expect bounce from 4750-60 levels. On up side, NIFTY SPOT Resistances@ 5050-60, 5085-95, Strong Resistance@ 5135-45,
If Sustains Above 5095 levels will attract Short Covering and Trades Below 4750 levelswill attract Fresh Selling. Wild swings not ruled out next week.
Take A Weekly Trial Pack For Just Rs 500,Includes NIFTY, FUTURES, CASH, OPTIONS, COMMODITY, CURRENCY
Join Us For Free
Type " JOIN SHAREBAZAARONL " & Send Sms To 567678
Type " JOIN SHAREBAZAARONL " & Send Sms To 560700
The market did open flat to positive and It was again a slightly positive closing for the market. As expected by me that profit booking can emerge near 5010 range we seen sharp and good profit booking from higher side but nifty closed again above its major weekly support of 4920.It seems that now a correction is round the corner and all the long positions should have a tight stop loss placed below 4930 for very short term and 4870 for short term.Its still buy on dip market as long as nifty sustains abv 4770.Higher side it seems that it will take a breath before making and significant move but until we are not having any bad news from global markets or from anywhere else, its not to worry to bulls and they will be dominant.
NIFTY (4965.55)
Resistance : 4995 / 5030
Support : 4935 / 4910 / 4850
SENSEX (16711.11)
Resistance : 16810 / 16905
Support : 16625 / 16540
NIFTY FUT (4962)
Resistance : 4985 / 5005 / 5035
Support : 4945 / 4920 / 4890
MKT COMMENTS
NIFTY FUT OI flat with 16% decreasing volumes indicating unwinding of long positions at higher levels.
We expect NIFTY FUT to trade rangebound with possibility of profit booking at higher levels.